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[quote][i]Originally posted by Ian[/i] Can we talk about these 15,000 people coming in on flights. Not sure if that is daily/weekly? So there are people asking for airports to close. When actually this goes back to my herd immunity on the quiet policy. So we might lose people but they are either not UK nationals in which case we will probably exclude them from our figures. Or they are UK but we can say oh they came home from Sweden/Italy/China/etc. so we couldn't influence their infection prior to them arriving. Also if they go on to infect more we can say we were repatriating which is necessary but at the mercy of infection which was out of our hands. I reckon airports won't close and this is just a herd policy on the quiet. My analogy is you have a bath tub in which the plug is open slightly but you're also filling it from the tap. The plug hole is removed cases, ie. recovered or dead. The tap filling is new cases. The water level is NHS capacity. Now you don't want to run the bath dry because that'll look like a fuss over nothing. So you need to add water at such a rate that the level is basically constant. Also you don't want the water level too high because the overflow is avoidable deaths because you exhausted healthcare. The goal will be to keep the water level constant. To that end airports are a nice flow of people through the books. And if the water level gets a bit low that's when we lift domestic movements. Or if it was getting higher we might close airports but that's not looking like the case just now. Anyone arguing airports should close, and I've been saying similar myself and since changed my view, is missing the herd immunity element of why its probably important that they stay open. [/quote]
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